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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
$826,538 vol
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$1,865,566 vol
When will OpenAI release Astra?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Sep 18, 2026
$205,060 vol
Top AI model in August
claude-opus-5-high
claude-opus-4-7
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
When will Anthropic release Opus 6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 16, 2026
$86,514 vol
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Aug 31, 2026?
Above $6.11
Above $7.11
$72,927 vol
Top Math AI this month
Kimi
Mimo
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
$675,163 vol
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
At least 60%
At least 65%
$53,022 vol
Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
Gemini
GLM
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute by Aug 31, 2026?
Above $2.96
Above $3.01
$117,245 vol
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
Kimi
Grok
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Aug 31, 2026?
Above $0.49
Above $0.54
$78,265 vol
Top Chinese AI Company this month
DeepSeek
Moonshot
TODAY @ 4:00 AM
When will Anthropic release the next Mythos-Class model?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
$209,069 vol
Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Aug 31, 2026?
Above $1.08
Above $1.03
$46,822 vol
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
$230,616 vol
Tesla Optimus released this year?
$718,394 vol
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
ChatGPT
$251,826 vol
Next Gemini Flash model release
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Sep 16, 2026
$18,013 vol
OpenAI corporate adoption rate in August
Above 39.5%
Above 41.5%
$19,443 vol
Best AI in Sep 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
$1,834 vol
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Aug 31, 2026?
Above $4.22
Above $5.12
$49,487 vol
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
Next Gemini Pro model release
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 16, 2026
$19,699 vol
NVIDIA H100 SXM Compute Price Up or Down by Sep 4, 2026?
$4,052 vol
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1520 score
At least 1530 score
$193,077 vol
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
$1,311,328 vol
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
$51,505 vol
NVIDIA H200 Compute Price Up or Down by Sep 4, 2026?
$3,842 vol
NVIDIA RTX 5090 Compute Price Up or Down by Sep 4, 2026?
$2,440 vol